Quaternary Environments
Spring, 2002
Ice Core Exercise
Ice cores are one of the best terrestrial repositories of environmental data,
including as much as 400,000 years of interpretable paleoenvironmental
information. Some of this information is available to you in a near-raw
format! What I would like you to do is to investigate some of these data.
The data are archived at and downloadable from http://ingrid.ldgo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.ICE/.CORE/
.
What I would like you to do is to investigate relationships
between any two variables accessible from that source. Note that
Quelccaya is a short core with little to compare to the longer records.
The GRIP core spans from 8 ky to 40 ky BP and includes methane and oxygen
isotope data. The Vostok data spans the last 160,000 years and lists 8
values (including inferred temperature difference from present). So - what
interests you? The similarity between Greenland and Antarctic oxygen
isotope compositions? Whether methane or CO2
is a better predictor of climate? Whether climate lags CO2
or vice-versa? Please investigate one such issue, by next Tuesday at 5 PM,
in singles or groups of two, following the methodology below:
- Write your question (perhaps in the form of a testable
hypothesis!)
- Download the data you need to answer your question.
The preferred format is .tsv, which is readily importable into Excel,
Quattro, Lotus, or another spreadsheet.
- Import your data. If it doesn't parse into separate
columns automatically, use Excel's Data...Text to Columns... capability, or
equivalent, to generate one or more columns of data for each variable.
- Transform your data to a common scale. That scale
could be depth or age in a single core, but must
be age between cores. In order to compare
data sets, you must have an array of numbers, with no gaps, in the form Z,
var1, var2, where Z is depth or age and var1 and var2
are your variables of interest. [This is the hard part of this
exercise.]
- Correlate your data. Use the statistical analytical
tools available to you (e.g., Excel's Tools...Data Analysis..., Correlation)
to answer your question. To test the presence of a lag or lead simply
shift one variable column up or down a row at a time, calculating
correlation, to see if the correlation improves or worsens. Do so
enough steps to demonstrate worsening to insignificance.
- Potential problem: if the Data Analysis package has not
yet been invoked on your copy of Excel, it may not show up in the Tools
menu. Use Excel Help to find the instructions to Install the
Analysis Toolpak - an add-in that should be lying dormant within the
software.
- Submit a short (<2 page) write-up describing your
question, your approach, your outcome, and the statistics that support it.